Thursday, February 25, 2016

2/25 - EUR/USD






SELL @ 1.1118           or    BUY  @  false break of 1.0957
1st TGT - 1.0918                 if an inverted "U" appears to
SL @  1.1168                      have formed...

The EUR/USD has temporarily stalled weakness over the past 24 hours after a tumultuous 2-week span in which the pair suffered a near 400 pip drop. The latest breather, however, highlights a large bull channel and support at the 50-day MA and a key Fibonacci retracement (61.8% of 1.0708/1.1376).

A closer look (4-hourly chart) reveals that the short-term (bearish) structure was beginning to weaken in the form of a wedge pattern.
 The final thrust lower Wednesday was also complimented by diverging
 studies. That said, the recovery has been mild and most likely will have
 to prove itself a bit before attracting demand. In fact over the past two
 weeks, the only counter move rally lasted one day and roughly 80 pips.
 This is roughly where we are now off 1.0957 even though a small
inverse head & shoulders pattern has seemed to have formed.

EUR/USD = 1.1024   21.01 GMT




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